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Djibouti vs Sierra Leone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
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Match Events

29' Event
Farah A.
Assist: Idriss H.
45' Event
Bah J.
Assist: Koroma A.
47'
Jalloh N.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Djibouti and Sierra Leone finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sierra Leone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Djibouti
15%
Draws
42%
Sierra Leone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djibouti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sierra Leone come out ahead of Djibouti on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sierra Leone's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%
Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djibouti Sierra Leone
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.78 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship
Djibouti vs Sierra Leone
1:2
Jun 5, 2024 World Championship
Sierra Leone vs Djibouti
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djibouti Compare

Top Goalscorer Farah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Bah J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarawallie S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djibouti 18 / 100
Sierra Leone 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djibouti Sierra Leone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sierra Leone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sierra Leone has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Djibouti's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Djibouti VS Sierra Leone
0.13 Goals Scored 1
3.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Djibouti

(Home)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
17 Nov
Morocco B
7 : 0
Djibouti
15 Nov
Morocco B
6 : 0
Djibouti
Page 1 of 6

Sierra Leone

(Away)
28 Sept
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 0
Sierra Leone
24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3
Zimbabwe
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Sierra Leone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 10 8 2 0 20:2 26
2 Burkina Faso 10 6 3 1 23:8 21
3 Sierra Leone 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
4 Guinea Bissau 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
5 Ethiopia 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
6 Djibouti 10 0 1 9 5:33 1
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 10 7 3 0 22:3 24
2 D.R. Congo 10 7 1 2 15:6 22
3 Sudan 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Togo 10 1 5 4 5:10 8
5 Mauritania 10 1 4 5 4:13 7
6 South Sudan 10 0 5 5 3:19 5
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
2 Nigeria 10 4 5 1 15:8 17
3 Benin 10 5 2 3 12:11 17
4 Lesotho 10 3 3 4 9:12 12
5 Rwanda 10 3 2 5 5:9 11
6 Zimbabwe 10 0 5 5 5:12 5
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 10 7 2 1 16:8 23
2 Cameroon 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
3 Libya 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
4 Angola 10 2 6 2 9:8 12
5 Mauritius 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
6 Eswatini 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 8 8 0 0 22:2 24
2 Niger 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
3 Tanzania 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
4 Zambia 8 3 0 5 10:10 9
5 Congo 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
6 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 10 8 2 0 25:0 26
2 Gabon 10 8 1 1 22:9 25
3 Gambia 10 4 1 5 27:18 13
4 Kenya 10 3 3 4 18:14 12
5 Burundi 10 3 1 6 13:13 10
6 Seychelles 10 0 0 10 2:53 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 10 8 1 1 24:8 25
2 Uganda 10 6 0 4 14:9 18
3 Mozambique 10 6 0 4 14:17 18
4 Guinea 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
5 Botswana 10 3 1 6 12:16 10
6 Somalia 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia 10 9 1 0 22:0 28
2 Namibia 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
3 Liberia 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Malawi 10 4 1 5 11:10 13
5 Equatorial Guinea 10 3 2 5 8:15 11
6 Sao Tome and Principe 10 1 0 9 5:26 3
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 10 8 1 1 23:6 25
2 Madagascar 10 6 1 3 17:12 19
3 Mali 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
4 Comoros 10 5 0 5 12:13 15
5 Central Africa 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
6 Chad 10 0 1 9 5:24 1
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