Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Djoliba vs Bakaridjan

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Complex Sportif Heremakono, Bamako
Djoliba Logo

Djoliba

1 - 0
FT
Bakaridjan Logo

Bakaridjan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Djoliba in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Djoliba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Djoliba
30%
Draws
29%
Bakaridjan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Djoliba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Bakaridjan haven't matched Djoliba's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djoliba Bakaridjan
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 23 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.65 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.56 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Djoliba
0:3
Jan 17, 2026 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Bakaridjan
1:0
Mar 27, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Djoliba
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Bakaridjan
0:0
May 5, 2024 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Djoliba
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djoliba 41 / 100
Bakaridjan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djoliba Bakaridjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djoliba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Djoliba scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Bakaridjan let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Djoliba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Djoliba VS Bakaridjan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Djoliba

(Home)
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 7

Bakaridjan

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)