Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Djoliba vs Diarra

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Complex Sportif Heremakono, Bamako
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Djoliba
20%
Draws
40%
Diarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Djoliba lately — more wins on the board than Diarra.
  • Win probability leans Djoliba's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Djoliba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djoliba Diarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Djoliba
1:2
May 30, 2026 Coupe du Mali
Diarra vs Djoliba
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Diarra
0:0
Jun 3, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Diarra
5:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Djoliba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djoliba 46 / 100
Diarra 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djoliba Diarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Djoliba scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Djoliba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Diarra conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Djoliba VS Diarra
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djoliba

(Home)
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

Diarra

(Away)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)