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Djoliba vs Stade Malien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Complex Sportif Heremakono, Bamako
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Djoliba
20%
Draws
47%
Stade Malien
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Djoliba lately — more wins on the board than Stade Malien.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djoliba Stade Malien
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 23 16
Draws 6 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.74 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Stade Malien
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Djoliba
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Stade Malien
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Djoliba
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Stade Malien
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djoliba 42 / 100
Stade Malien 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djoliba Stade Malien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djoliba scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Djoliba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Stade Malien has conceded goals in 35% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Djoliba VS Stade Malien
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Djoliba

(Home)
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
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Stade Malien

(Away)
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)