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DMedia vs BATE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Dragun S. In: Olkhovskiy S.
Out: Dragun S.
19' Event
Shvedchikov A.
21'
Shvedchikov A.

AI Match Summary

BATE in this Belarusian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
DMedia
15%
Draws
12%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: DMedia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BATE lately — more wins on the board than DMedia.
  • 12% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • BATE arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor BATE, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
DMedia Clean Sheet 20%
BATE Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DMedia BATE
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 10
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2 1.04
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Belarusian Cup
DMedia vs BATE
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DMedia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Shvedchikov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Affi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DMedia 36 / 100
BATE 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DMedia BATE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BATE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

BATE has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: BATE has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

DMedia scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BATE
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

DMedia

(Home)
12 Jul
DMedia
0 : 2
FC Gomel
20 May
Technolog Mogilev
0 : 6
DMedia
06 Oct
Amkal Moscow
7 : 0
DMedia
13 Jul
DMedia
0 : 5
BATE
22 May
DMedia
4 : 3
Ostrovets

BATE

(Away)
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
DMedia 4
Ostrovets 3
TBD -
BATE -
Stanles Pinsk 2
Molodechno 3
TBD -
Zhodino -
Energetik-BGATU 1
FC Slonim 2
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
FK Kletsk 0
Orsha 6
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Svisloch 0
FK Baranovici 8
TBD -
Smorgon -
Ivatsevichi 0
Belshina 6
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Technolog Mogilev 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Krechet 1
ML Vitebsk 8
TBD -
Naftan -
FK Miory 2
Osipovichi 1
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Uni X Labs 2
Partizan Salihorsk 1
TBD -
Neman -
Novaya Pripyat 1
Krumkachy 3
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Leskhoz 1
Lokomotiv Gomel 5
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Niva Dolbizno 14
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Traktor Minsk 2
FK Lida 3
TBD -
Vitebsk -
FK Kobrin 2
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Drut Belynichi 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 2
TBD -
Slutsk -
1/16-finals
DMedia 0
BATE 5
Molodechno 0
Zhodino 2
FC Slonim 0
Dynamo Brest 2
Orsha 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
FK Baranovici 0
Smorgon 1
Belshina 3
FC Minsk 1
BumProm Gomel 0
Slavia Mozyr 6
ML Vitebsk 2
Naftan 1
FK Miory 0
Din. Minsk 8
Uni X Labs 0
Neman 2
Krumkachy 0
Dnepr Mogilev 1
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Isloch Minsk 5
Niva Dolbizno 1
FC Gomel 3
FK Lida 0
Vitebsk 2
Volna Pinsk 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
Slutsk 5
1/8-finals
BATE 0
Zhodino 2
Dynamo Brest 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Smorgon 1
Belshina 2
Slavia Mozyr 0
ML Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk 0
Neman 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Isloch Minsk 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Volna Pinsk 0
Slutsk 3
Quarter-finals
Zhodino 1
Dynamo Brest 0
Belshina 1
ML Vitebsk 8
Neman 3
Isloch Minsk 0
Vitebsk 2
Slutsk 0
Semi-finals
Zhodino 1
ML Vitebsk 0
Neman 3
Vitebsk 1
Final
Zhodino 0
Neman 3