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DMedia vs Ostrovets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2024/2025
Wed, May 22, 2024
4 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bara Y.
30' Event
Ashrafi A.
44' Event
Kontsedailov A.

AI Match Summary

DMedia in this Belarusian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
DMedia
20%
Draws
46%
Ostrovets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostrovets lately — more wins on the board than DMedia.
  • Model gives Ostrovets a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Ostrovets arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor DMedia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
DMedia Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DMedia Ostrovets
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 0 11
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2024 Belarusian Cup
DMedia vs Ostrovets
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DMedia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bara Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kontsedailov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Ostrovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashrafi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urbanovich V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DMedia 12 / 100
Ostrovets 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DMedia Ostrovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrovets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ostrovets conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

DMedia found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

Recent resilience: DMedia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ostrovets
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

DMedia

(Home)
12 Jul
DMedia
0 : 2
FC Gomel
20 May
Technolog Mogilev
0 : 6
DMedia
06 Oct
Amkal Moscow
7 : 0
DMedia
13 Jul
DMedia
0 : 5
BATE
22 May
DMedia
4 : 3
Ostrovets

Ostrovets

(Away)
02 Oct
BATE 2
1 : 1
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Uni X Labs
1 : 1
Ostrovets
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1
FC Gomel 2
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
DMedia 4
Ostrovets 3
TBD -
BATE -
Stanles Pinsk 2
Molodechno 3
TBD -
Zhodino -
Energetik-BGATU 1
FC Slonim 2
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
FK Kletsk 0
Orsha 6
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Svisloch 0
FK Baranovici 8
TBD -
Smorgon -
Ivatsevichi 0
Belshina 6
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Technolog Mogilev 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Krechet 1
ML Vitebsk 8
TBD -
Naftan -
FK Miory 2
Osipovichi 1
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Uni X Labs 2
Partizan Salihorsk 1
TBD -
Neman -
Novaya Pripyat 1
Krumkachy 3
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Leskhoz 1
Lokomotiv Gomel 5
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Niva Dolbizno 14
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Traktor Minsk 2
FK Lida 3
TBD -
Vitebsk -
FK Kobrin 2
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Drut Belynichi 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 2
TBD -
Slutsk -
1/16-finals
DMedia 0
BATE 5
Molodechno 0
Zhodino 2
FC Slonim 0
Dynamo Brest 2
Orsha 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
FK Baranovici 0
Smorgon 1
Belshina 3
FC Minsk 1
BumProm Gomel 0
Slavia Mozyr 6
ML Vitebsk 2
Naftan 1
FK Miory 0
Din. Minsk 8
Uni X Labs 0
Neman 2
Krumkachy 0
Dnepr Mogilev 1
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Isloch Minsk 5
Niva Dolbizno 1
FC Gomel 3
FK Lida 0
Vitebsk 2
Volna Pinsk 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
Slutsk 5
1/8-finals
BATE 0
Zhodino 2
Dynamo Brest 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Smorgon 1
Belshina 2
Slavia Mozyr 0
ML Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk 0
Neman 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Isloch Minsk 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Volna Pinsk 0
Slutsk 3
Quarter-finals
Zhodino 1
Dynamo Brest 0
Belshina 1
ML Vitebsk 8
Neman 3
Isloch Minsk 0
Vitebsk 2
Slutsk 0
Semi-finals
Zhodino 1
ML Vitebsk 0
Neman 3
Vitebsk 1
Final
Zhodino 0
Neman 3