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Dnepr Mogilev vs Dynamo Brest

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Spartak, Mogilev
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
42'
Suvorov S.
44'
Shemruk A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Dnepr Mogilev
35%
Draws
41%
Dynamo Brest
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dynamo Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dynamo Brest have won more games recently than Dnepr Mogilev.
  • Win probability leans Dnepr Mogilev's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 11%
Dynamo Brest Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev Dynamo Brest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Dynamo Brest
1:1
Nov 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Dynamo Brest
0:3
Jun 15, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev
6:1
Oct 7, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev
4:0
May 22, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Dynamo Brest
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirilenko K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dynamo Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kortsov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 40 / 100
Dynamo Brest 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev Dynamo Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dnepr Mogilev's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dnepr Mogilev stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dynamo Brest conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS Dynamo Brest
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
14 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
Belshina
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Dynamo Brest

(Away)
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
16 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 2
Isloch Minsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 21 13 6 2 36:16 45
2 ML Vitebsk 20 11 8 1 37:16 41
3 Din. Minsk 20 12 4 4 35:16 40
4 Dynamo Brest 22 11 4 7 34:21 37
5 FC Gomel 22 10 6 6 31:18 36
6 Neman 21 10 4 7 24:19 34
7 FC Minsk 22 10 4 8 30:26 34
8 Vitebsk 22 9 6 7 22:21 33
9 Zhodino 21 7 6 8 28:23 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 21 6 7 8 23:25 25
11 FK Baranovici 22 6 7 9 24:36 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 22 5 8 9 23:36 23
13 BATE 21 3 9 9 16:25 18
14 Belshina 21 4 6 11 20:36 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 22 2 10 10 18:32 16
16 Naftan 22 2 5 15 19:54 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)