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Stadium Background

Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Spartak, Mogilev
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Perovic N.
45' Event
Tsepenkov K.
Assist: Kirilenko K.
54'
Perovic N.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Dnepr Mogilev and FC Minsk finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dnepr Mogilev
30%
Draws
47%
FC Minsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Minsk come out ahead of Dnepr Mogilev on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 15%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev FC Minsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:2
May 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsepenkov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Makas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ksenofontov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 35 / 100
FC Minsk 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev FC Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Dnepr Mogilev found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Minsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Dnepr Mogilev has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS FC Minsk
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
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FC Minsk

(Away)
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1
FC Minsk
21 Aug
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Vitebsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)