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Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Spartak
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Perovic N.
45' Event
Tsepenkov K.
Assist: Kirilenko K.
54'
Perovic N.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Dnepr Mogilev and FC Minsk finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dnepr Mogilev
30%
Draws
34%
FC Minsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Minsk come out ahead of Dnepr Mogilev on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dnepr Mogilev a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 16%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev FC Minsk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:2
May 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsepenkov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Makas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ksenofontov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 36 / 100
FC Minsk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev FC Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Minsk conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Dnepr Mogilev's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dnepr Mogilev has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS FC Minsk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1556418:2121
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1555516:1620
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316