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Dnepr Mogilev vs Gorki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B Stadion Spartak, Mogilev
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kapov K.
46' Event
Gusev K.
74' Event
Rybakov M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Dnepr Mogilev and Gorki finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dnepr Mogilev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dnepr Mogilev
35%
Draws
37%
Gorki
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gorki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dnepr Mogilev come out ahead of Gorki on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dnepr Mogilev's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Dnepr Mogilev have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 17%
Gorki Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev Gorki
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.33 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Dnepr Mogilev vs Gorki
4:0
May 23, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Gorki vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:2
Mar 21, 2020 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Gorki
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gusev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gorki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 39 / 100
Gorki 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev Gorki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Dnepr Mogilev found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (40 games).

Gorki has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Dnepr Mogilev has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
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Gorki

(Away)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)