Sport Picks
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Stadion Spartak, Mogilev 
Match Events
7'
7'
Jonathan J.
15'
15'
Rusak S.
Assist: Tsepenkov K.
27'
27'
Yakovlev V.
Assist: Mafwenta G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naftan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dnepr Mogilev lately — more wins on the board than Naftan.
- Dnepr Mogilev are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 68%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dnepr Mogilev | Naftan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan
3:3
Mar 22, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan
6:2
Oct 6, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dnepr Mogilev Compare
Top Goalscorer Rusak S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tsepenkov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Naftan Compare
Top Goalscorer Yakovlev V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aymanov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dnepr Mogilev 77 / 100
Naftan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dnepr Mogilev Naftan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Naftan conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Dnepr Mogilev scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Dnepr Mogilev has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dnepr Mogilev VS Naftan
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dnepr Mogilev
(Home) 20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0 Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0 Isloch Minsk
14 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 Belshina
31 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
3 : 3 Naftan
10 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 2 FC Minsk
Page 1 of 3
Naftan
(Away) 19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1 Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2 Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3 FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1 Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0 Naftan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1 Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2 Naftan
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1 Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0 Naftan
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0 Naftan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38:23 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
