Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dnepr Mogilev vs Orsha

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Zabelin K.
29'
Sub
Regain B. In: Litskevich M.
Out: Regain B.
38'
Sub
Krasnov N. In: Stepanenko V.
Out: Krasnov N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Dnepr Mogilev and Orsha finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dnepr Mogilev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dnepr Mogilev
35%
Draws
26%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orsha come out ahead of Dnepr Mogilev on wins alone.
  • Dnepr Mogilev are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 20%
Orsha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev Orsha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Orsha
2:0
Nov 17, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Orsha
0:2
Jul 18, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Orsha
6:1
Aug 12, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabelin K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rusak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Orsha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 67 / 100
Orsha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev Orsha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orsha conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Dnepr Mogilev found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Dnepr Mogilev has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS Orsha
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
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Orsha

(Away)
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
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