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Dnyapro vs Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga 2019 Stadion Spartak
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dnyapro play Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dnyapro averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Vitebsk averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Dnyapro won 1, Vitebsk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 3, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Dnyapro and 1.49 for Vitebsk. This points to a Dnyapro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dnyapro
22%
Draws
35%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dnyapro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Dnyapro picked up more points recently compared to Vitebsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Dnyapro Clean Sheet 16%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnyapro Vitebsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2019 Vysshaya Liga
Dnyapro vs Vitebsk
2:0
Jun 23, 2019 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnyapro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnyapro Compare

Top Goalscorer Podstrelov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gribovskiy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vitebsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnyapro 42 / 100
Vitebsk 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnyapro Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dnyapro or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dnyapro attacking → ← attacking Vitebsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnyapro scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Vitebsk let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Dnyapro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vitebsk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 32
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dynamo Brest30236170:2275
2BATE30224461:2170
3Shakhtyor Soligorsk30205559:2165
4Din. Minsk301551043:3950
5Isloch Minsk30138942:3647
6Zhodino301361141:3645
7FK Gorodeja301281031:2944
8Slavia Mozyr301071335:4037
9Neman301061428:3736
10FC Minsk30991236:4436
11Slutsk30971429:4634
12SKA-1938 Minsk30891352:6633
13Vitebsk30871524:3931
14Dnyapro30861632:4230
15FC Gomel30781544:5029
16Torpedo Minsk3013264:636