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Dob vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Dob Logo

Dob

3 - 1
FT
Tolmin Logo

Tolmin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Dob and Tolmin finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dob.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dob
35%
Draws
34%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dob come out ahead of Tolmin on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Dob taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dob Clean Sheet 10%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dob Tolmin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Dob
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 3. SNL - West
Dob vs Tolmin
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Dob
2:2
May 7, 2016 2. SNL
Tolmin vs Dob
3:2
Mar 19, 2016 2. SNL
Dob vs Tolmin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dob 47 / 100
Tolmin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dob Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dob Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dob's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Tolmin let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dob stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dob VS Tolmin
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dob

(Home)
05 Sept
Dob
0 : 3
Izola
29 Aug
Ziri
0 : 3
Dob
22 Aug
Dob
4 : 0
Skofja Loka
15 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 1
Dob
24 May
Fama Vipava
2 : 2
Dob
Page 1 of 6

Tolmin

(Away)
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
15 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 1
Dob
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3
Tolmin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)