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Doce Mel vs Canaa EC

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2019
Doce Mel Logo

Doce Mel

1 - 0
FT
Canaa EC Logo

Canaa EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel in this Baiano 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Doce Mel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Doce Mel
35%
Draws
46%
Canaa EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Canaa EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Doce Mel have won more games recently than Canaa EC.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Canaa EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 19%
Canaa EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel Canaa EC
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.92 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Canaa EC
1:0
Mar 9, 2019 Baiano 2
Canaa EC vs Doce Mel
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel 16 / 100
Canaa EC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel Canaa EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canaa EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canaa EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Doce Mel's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Solid form: Doce Mel remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel VS Canaa EC
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel

(Home)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
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Canaa EC

(Away)
20 Sept
Canaa EC
1 : 0
Planaltina
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
10 Jul
Fluminense de Feira
1 : 1
Canaa EC
03 Jul
Canaa EC
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Olimpia 10 7 2 1 19:5 23
2 Doce Mel 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
3 UNIRB 10 5 2 3 11:12 17
4 Cajazeiras 10 4 2 4 15:13 14
5 Canaa EC 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
6 Galicia 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2019 (Play Offs)