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Doce Mel W vs Perolas Negras W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Goncalves L. A.
90' Event
Flavia
90' Event
Flavia

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel W in this Brasileiro A2 Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Doce Mel W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Doce Mel W
35%
Draws
49%
Perolas Negras W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Perolas Negras W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Perolas Negras W have won more games recently than Doce Mel W.
  • Model gives Perolas Negras W a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 15%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel W Perolas Negras W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Doce Mel W vs Perolas Negras W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doce Mel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavia
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Perolas Negras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves L. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel W 10 / 100
Perolas Negras W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel W Perolas Negras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perolas Negras W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Perolas Negras W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Doce Mel W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Doce Mel W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel W VS Perolas Negras W
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel W

(Home)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
Page 1 of 6

Perolas Negras W

(Away)
08 Aug
Perolas Negras W
2 : 3
3B da Amazonia W
02 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 0
Perolas Negras W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)