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Doce Mel W vs UD Alagoana W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
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Match Events

59' Event
Paula A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with UD Alagoana W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Doce Mel W
11%
Draws
9%
UD Alagoana W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Doce Mel W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Alagoana W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Doce Mel W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • UD Alagoana W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor UD Alagoana W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 16%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel W UD Alagoana W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
UD Alagoana W vs Doce Mel W
0:2
Jun 6, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Doce Mel W vs UD Alagoana W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doce Mel W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

UD Alagoana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paula A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel W 75 / 100
UD Alagoana W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel W UD Alagoana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Alagoana W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Doce Mel W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: UD Alagoana W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel W VS UD Alagoana W
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel W

(Home)
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
23 May
Vasco W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
20 May
Paysandu PA W
1 : 3
Doce Mel W
16 May
Doce Mel W
2 : 1
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 6

UD Alagoana W

(Away)
01 Jun
UD Alagoana W
0 : 2
Acao W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Paysandu PA W
2 : 1
UD Alagoana W
20 May
Itabirito W
3 : 0
UD Alagoana W
16 May
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Itacoatiara W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico-PI W7
Tuna Luso W2
Ypiranga AP W1
Ceara W2
UD Alagoana W5
Juventude W4
Doce Mel W4
Ipojuca W3
Vila Nova FC W7
Rolim de Moura W2
Galvez W2
Operario MS W4
Perolas Negras W3
Brasil de Farroupilha W1
Coritiba W0
Itabirito W3
Quarter-finals
Atletico-PI W5
Ceara W2
UD Alagoana W1
Doce Mel W2
Vila Nova FC W3
Operario MS W2
Perolas Negras W2
Itabirito W3
Semi-finals
Atletico-PI W6
Doce Mel W1
Vila Nova FC W5
Itabirito W4
Final
Atletico-PI W5
Vila Nova FC W2