Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dock Sud vs Excursionistas

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio de los Inmigrantes, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gomez G.
26'
Pedrosa G.
29'
Villalba B.

AI Match Summary

Dock Sud in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dock Sud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dock Sud
15%
Draws
54%
Excursionistas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Dock Sud haven't matched Excursionistas's recent run of results.
  • Excursionistas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Dock Sud Clean Sheet 11%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dock Sud Excursionistas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Primera B
Dock Sud vs Excursionistas
3:1
Feb 20, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Dock Sud
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Primera B
Dock Sud vs Excursionistas
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Dock Sud
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Primera B
Dock Sud vs Excursionistas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dock Sud Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dock Sud 27 / 100
Excursionistas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dock Sud Excursionistas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dock Sud's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Excursionistas let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dock Sud stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dock Sud VS Excursionistas
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dock Sud

(Home)
20 Sept
Dock Sud
0 : 0
Argentino de Quilmes
12 Sept
Defensores Unidos
3 : 0
Dock Sud
06 Sept
Dock Sud
0 : 1
Comunicaciones
29 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 2
Dock Sud
26 Aug
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2
Dock Sud
Page 1 of 6

Excursionistas

(Away)
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0
Excursionistas
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 36 21 8 7 56:29 71
2 Arsenal Sarandi 36 18 12 6 48:24 66
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 36 18 10 8 37:19 64
4 Deportivo Camioneros 36 17 12 7 42:24 63
5 Villa Dalmine 36 17 12 7 38:21 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 36 16 11 9 41:27 59
7 Real Pilar 36 16 10 10 40:35 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 36 15 9 12 38:38 54
9 Comunicaciones 36 14 11 11 38:33 53
10 Laferrere 36 12 12 12 43:47 48
11 San Martin Burzaco 36 11 14 11 35:37 47
12 Dock Sud 36 10 14 12 38:38 44
13 Argentino de Merlo 36 11 11 14 32:36 44
14 Dep. Merlo 36 10 13 13 36:50 43
15 Villa San Carlos 36 9 14 13 35:39 41
16 Argentino de Quilmes 36 9 14 13 29:36 41
17 CSD Liniers 36 9 13 14 30:37 40
18 Flandria 36 10 8 18 32:45 38
19 Defensores Unidos 36 8 13 15 31:38 37
20 Brown Adrogue 36 7 14 15 21:37 35
21 UAI Urquiza 36 4 19 13 18:33 31
22 Ituzaingo 36 1 12 23 23:58 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)