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Dom Bosco vs Araguaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2024
Dom Bosco Logo

Dom Bosco

1 - 0
FT
Araguaia Logo

Araguaia

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Jonas
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2024 game between Dom Bosco and Araguaia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dom Bosco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Dom Bosco
15%
Draws
12%
Araguaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dom Bosco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Dom Bosco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dom Bosco a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Dom Bosco Clean Sheet 68%
Araguaia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dom Bosco Araguaia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2024 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Araguaia
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Dom Bosco
2:0
Mar 9, 2019 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Araguaia
1:2
Jan 17, 2018 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Dom Bosco
1:2
Feb 19, 2017 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Araguaia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dom Bosco Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Araguaia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dom Bosco 95 / 100
Araguaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dom Bosco Araguaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dom Bosco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Dom Bosco scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Araguaia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dom Bosco VS Araguaia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dom Bosco

(Home)
05 Jul
Dom Bosco
3 : 0
Uirapuru
28 Jun
Acao
1 : 2
Dom Bosco
19 Jun
Dom Bosco
1 : 2
Cacerense
16 Jun
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 1
Dom Bosco
24 Feb
Luverdense
4 : 1
Dom Bosco
Page 1 of 7

Araguaia

(Away)
24 Feb
Uniao Rondonopolis
4 : 1
Araguaia
18 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Operario VG
15 Feb
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Araguaia
11 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Mixto
04 Feb
Luverdense
0 : 0
Araguaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 8 1 0 19:5 25
2 Cuiaba 9 5 4 0 20:8 19
3 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 15:9 17
4 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 10:10 14
5 Mixto 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 2 4 9:9 11
7 Primavera AC 9 1 5 3 5:8 8
8 Academia 9 2 0 7 8:14 6
9 Dom Bosco 9 1 3 5 6:18 6
10 Araguaia 9 1 2 6 4:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)