Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dominica U17 vs Mexico U17

World World

World Cup U17 2025 FMF Asociación, Toluca
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Garcia G.
Assist: Gamboa L.
36' Event
Grajales J.
Assist: Villa A.
45' Event
De Nigris A.
Assist: Gamboa L.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U17 in this World Cup U17 2025 tie, finishing 0-8. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Dominica U17
15%
Draws
78%
Mexico U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominica U17 haven't matched Mexico U17's recent run of results.
  • Mexico U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mexico U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Dominica U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominica U17 Mexico U17
Matches Played 13 32
Wins 0 17
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.38 2.41
Goals Conceded 4.38 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 World Cup U17
Dominica U17 vs Mexico U17
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominica U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer De Nigris A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominica U17 10 / 100
Mexico U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominica U17 Mexico U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Dominica U17 scored in 38% of their last 13 outings.

Mexico U17 let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Dominica U17 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dominica U17 VS Mexico U17
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominica U17

(Home)
10 Feb
Anguilla U17
1 : 1
Dominica U17
07 Feb
Dominica U17
1 : 7
Nicaragua U17
05 Feb
Panama U17
6 : 1
Dominica U17
13 Feb
Dominica U17
1 : 4
Nicaragua U17
11 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 0
Dominica U17
Page 1 of 3

Mexico U17

(Away)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 4 4 0 0 28:2 12
2 Curacao U17 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
3 Bermuda U17 4 2 0 2 10:14 6
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U17 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
5 Anguilla U17 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U17 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Guyana U17 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 British Virgin Islands U17 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sint Maarten U17 4 0 0 4 0:28 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
2 Nicaragua U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
3 Barbados U17 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Belize U17 4 1 0 3 10:8 3
5 Dominica U17 4 0 0 4 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Puerto Rico U17 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Saint Martin U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Bonaire U17 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U17 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Guatemala U17 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Antigua and Barbuda U17 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 31:0 9
2 Cuba U17 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U17 3 1 0 2 10:12 3
4 United States Virgin Islands U17 3 0 0 3 5:37 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U17 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Dominican Republic U17 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Aruba U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Grenada U17 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Jamaica U17 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Saint Lucia U17 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Cayman Islands U17 3 0 0 3 1:23 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)