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Dominica vs Sint Maarten

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
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AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Series game between Dominica and Sint Maarten finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Dominica
35%
Draws
40%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sint Maarten come out ahead of Dominica on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dominica Clean Sheet 20%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominica Sint Maarten
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Dominica vs Sint Maarten
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Dominica vs Sint Maarten
2:3
Nov 20, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Dominica
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominica 32 / 100
Sint Maarten 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominica Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sint Maarten conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Dominica found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Dominica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dominica VS Sint Maarten
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominica

(Home)
28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2
Puerto Rico
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Guyana
2 : 0
Dominica
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Sint Maarten

(Away)
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
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