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Stadium Background

Dominica vs Sint Maarten

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series SKNFA technical centre, Basseterre
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bleeker L.
43' Event
Joseph T.
66' Event
de Nooijer M.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Series game between Dominica and Sint Maarten finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sint Maarten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Dominica
35%
Draws
40%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sint Maarten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dominica Clean Sheet 20%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominica Sint Maarten
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Dominica vs Sint Maarten
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Dominica vs Sint Maarten
2:3
Nov 20, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Dominica
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominica Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Bleeker L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Nooijer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominica 32 / 100
Sint Maarten 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominica Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sint Maarten has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Dominica scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dominica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dominica VS Sint Maarten
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominica

(Home)
28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2
Puerto Rico
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Guyana
2 : 0
Dominica
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Sint Maarten

(Away)
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
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