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Dominican Republic vs Aruba Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Sambataro M.
84' Event
Japa E.

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dominican Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dominican Republic
15%
Draws
49%
Aruba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominican Republic have won more games recently than Aruba.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Aruba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dominican Republic here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 10%
Aruba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Aruba
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Aruba
2:0
Sep 23, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Aruba vs Dominican Republic
2:2
Mar 30, 1996 World Championship
Aruba vs Dominican Republic
1:3
Mar 23, 1996 World Championship
Dominican Republic vs Aruba
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambataro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Japa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 26 / 100
Aruba 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Aruba let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Dominican Republic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic VS Aruba
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominican Republic

(Home)
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
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Aruba

(Away)
04 Oct
Aruba
3 : 2
Anguilla
29 Sept
Anguilla
0 : 2
Aruba
23 Sept
Aruba
1 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
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