Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dominican Republic vs Cuba

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Reyes D.
53' Event
Romero D.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Series game between Dominican Republic and Cuba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dominican Republic
35%
Draws
38%
Cuba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Cuba haven't matched Dominican Republic's recent run of results.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 17%
Cuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Cuba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.35 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Dominican Republic vs Cuba
1:1
Nov 18, 2022 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Cuba
1:1
Nov 15, 2022 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Cuba
2:4
Nov 17, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Dominican Republic
1:0
Mar 25, 2015 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Cuba
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 36 / 100
Cuba 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Dominican Republic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cuba let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic VS Cuba
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominican Republic

(Home)
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
27 Mar
Dominican Republic
2 : 2
El Salvador
Page 1 of 7

Cuba

(Away)
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 6