Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dominican Republic vs Dominica

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League ABFA Technical Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vasquez R.
Assist: Romero D.
16'
Firpo J.
25' Event
Romero D.
Assist: Firpo J.

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dominican Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dominican Republic
17%
Draws
13%
Dominica
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominica haven't matched Dominican Republic's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dominican Republic taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dominican Republic have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 68%
Dominica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Dominica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
Dominican Republic vs Dominica
5:0
Nov 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominica vs Dominican Republic
1:6
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Dominica
2:0
Mar 24, 2021 World Championship
Dominican Republic vs Dominica
1:0
Sep 27, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Dominican Republic vs Dominica
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dominica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 77 / 100
Dominica 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Dominica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Dominican Republic scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Dominica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Dominican Republic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic VS Dominica
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151