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Dominican Republic vs Montserrat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dorsett A. J. R.
Own Goal
25' Event
Romero D.
46'
Sub
Duberry L. In: Clifton A.
Out: Duberry L.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Dominican Republic and Montserrat finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dominican Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dominican Republic
15%
Draws
49%
Montserrat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montserrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominican Republic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Montserrat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 13%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Montserrat
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.16 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Dominican Republic
2:1
Sep 11, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Montserrat
3:0
Oct 15, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Montserrat
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Dominican Republic
2:1
Mar 18, 2000 World Championship
Montserrat vs Dominican Republic
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Montserrat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 10 / 100
Montserrat 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Montserrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montserrat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montserrat conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dominican Republic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic VS Montserrat
1.25 Goals Scored 2.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominican Republic

(Home)
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 7

Montserrat

(Away)
06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
01 Oct
British Virgin Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0
Montserrat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadeloupe 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Sint Maarten 6 2 0 4 6:15 6
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nicaragua 6 5 1 0 17:1 16
2 Dominican Republic 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Montserrat 6 3 0 3 9:14 9
4 Barbados 6 0 0 6 7:26 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 French Guiana 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 3 0 3 13:14 9
3 Bermuda 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Belize 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guyana 5 5 0 0 20:5 15
2 Puerto Rico 6 4 0 2 22:10 12
3 Antigua and Barbuda 6 1 1 4 9:22 4
4 Bahamas 5 0 1 4 7:21 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)