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Dominican Republic vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Estadio Cibao FC
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic play Saint Vincent and the Grenadines in the CONCACAF Series. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dominican Republic averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Dominican Republic won 1, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 13, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Dominican Republic and 2.06 for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. This points to a Saint Vincent and the Grenadines double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Dominican Republic
18%
Draws
41%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominican Republic picked up more points recently compared to Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.3 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Dominican Republic vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2:0
Sep 3, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Dominican Republic vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Morschel H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Japa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 39 / 100
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dominican Republic attacking → ← attacking Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Dominican Republic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 47
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13