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Dominican Republic W vs Suriname W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women Estadio Complejo Deportivo Moca 85
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic W play Suriname W in the CONCACAF Championship Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dominican Republic W averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Suriname W averaged 1.76 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Dominican Republic W won 0, Suriname W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 2, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Dominican Republic W and 2.56 for Suriname W. This points to a Dominican Republic W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Dominican Republic W
15%
Draws
33%
Suriname W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Dominican Republic W picked up more points recently compared to Suriname W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Dominican Republic W Clean Sheet 10%
Suriname W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic W Suriname W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.57 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women
Dominican Republic W vs Suriname W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic W Compare

Top Goalscorer Asenjo M. G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Suriname W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoekstra I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dompig C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic W 49 / 100
Suriname W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic W Suriname W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dominican Republic W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dominican Republic W attacking → ← attacking Suriname W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Suriname W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Dominican Republic W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Suriname W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 35
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mexico W440036:012
2Puerto Rico W430126:69
3Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W42022:246
4United States Virgin Islands W41033:203
5Saint Lucia W40041:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jamaica W440027:212
2Nicaragua W430123:49
3Guyana W42028:56
4Antigua and Barbuda W40131:131
5Dominica W40131:361
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Costa Rica W440034:112
2Guatemala W430123:49
3Bermuda W420210:156
4Grenada W41037:143
5Cayman Islands W40041:410
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haiti W431017:110
2Dominican Republic W422017:48
3Belize W42025:156
4Suriname W41125:74
5Anguilla W40041:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panama W440015:212
2Cuba W42116:57
3Aruba W42029:66
4Curacao W41034:163
5Saint Kitts and Nevis W40134:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Salvador W330018:09
2Trinidad & Tobago W31117:44
3Honduras W31116:54
4Barbados W30030:220