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Domzale vs Koper

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Športni park Domžale, Domžale
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Domzale host Koper in the Prva liga 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Koper have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Domzale have conceded 1.92 and scored 1.08. Past meetings favor Koper slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.30) point toward Koper. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Domzale
30%
Draws
39%
Koper
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Koper lately — more wins on the board than Domzale.
  • Win probability leans Domzale's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Domzale Clean Sheet 19%
Koper Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Domzale Koper
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 3 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.08 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Prva liga
Koper vs Domzale
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Prva liga
Domzale vs Koper
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Domzale
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Prva liga
Domzale vs Koper
1:3
May 4, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Domzale
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Domzale 58 / 100
Koper 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Domzale Koper

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Domzale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Domzale's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Koper let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Domzale has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Domzale VS Koper
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Domzale

(Home)
05 Dec
Koper
2 : 1
Domzale
30 Nov
Domzale
1 : 0
Bravo
22 Nov
Domzale
0 : 2
Celje
08 Nov
Aluminij
3 : 1
Domzale
03 Nov
Domzale
3 : 3
Mura
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Koper

(Away)
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
16 Aug
Koper
0 : 0
Bravo
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
02 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 1
Koper
30 Jul
Koper
1 : 4
NSI Runavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 62
4 O. Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 57:43 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 22
10 Domzale 18 3 3 12 17:38 12
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL (Main)