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Don Alvaro vs Don Benito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Chit O.
90' Event
Vera A.

AI Match Summary

Don Benito in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Don Benito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Don Alvaro
20%
Draws
73%
Don Benito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Don Benito have won more games recently than Don Alvaro.
  • Model gives Don Benito a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Don Alvaro Clean Sheet 17%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Alvaro Don Benito
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 24
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.83 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs Don Benito
0:2
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Don Alvaro
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Alvaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Chit O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Alvaro 10 / 100
Don Benito 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Alvaro Don Benito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Don Alvaro scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Don Benito has conceded goals in 46% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: Don Alvaro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Don Benito
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Alvaro

(Home)
26 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
20 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
10 May
Pueblonuevo
2 : 2
Don Alvaro
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Don Alvaro
Page 1 of 6

Don Benito

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)