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Don Alvaro vs Miajadas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Don Alvaro Logo

Don Alvaro

1 - 0
FT
Miajadas Logo

Miajadas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Don Alvaro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Don Alvaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Don Alvaro
20%
Draws
40%
Miajadas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Miajadas haven't matched Don Alvaro's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Don Alvaro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Don Alvaro Clean Sheet 20%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Alvaro Miajadas
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.94 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs Miajadas
1:0
Oct 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Don Alvaro
0:1
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs Miajadas
0:1
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Don Alvaro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Alvaro 36 / 100
Miajadas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Alvaro Miajadas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Miajadas conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Miajadas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Don Alvaro scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Don Alvaro VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Alvaro

(Home)
26 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
20 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
10 May
Pueblonuevo
2 : 2
Don Alvaro
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Don Alvaro
Page 1 of 7

Miajadas

(Away)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)