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Don Benito vs Atletico Central - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Don Benito host Atletico Central in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4. This one's hard to separate. Don Benito have averaged 1.83 scored and 0.69 conceded recently, against Atletico Central's 1.07 scored and 0.83 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.25, favoring Don Benito. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Don Benito
15%
Draws
32%
Atletico Central
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Don Benito have won more games recently than Atletico Central.
  • Model gives Don Benito a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Benito Atletico Central
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 67 / 100
Atletico Central 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Benito Atletico Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Don Benito stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Atletico Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Don Benito VS Atletico Central
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Benito

(Home)
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Central

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Linares
27 Sept
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Sevilla B
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Tenerife B
3 : 1
Atletico Central
06 Sept
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 5 4 1 0 8:0 13
2 Recreativo Huelva 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Don Benito 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Tenerife B 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Ciudad de Lucena 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
6 Sevilla B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 CD Badajoz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 CD Estepona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Linares 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Mijas Las Lagunas 5 1 3 1 10:10 6
11 Sanluqueno 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Atletico Central 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
13 Xerez CD 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Marbella 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Puente Genil 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
16 Las Palmas B 5 1 1 3 1:8 4
17 Tamaraceite 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Antoniano 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)