Sport Picks
Doncaster vs Chesterfield
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster 
Match Events
15'
15'
Sharp B.
Assist: Gotts R.
19'
19'
Ajayi D.
Assist: Sharp B.
31'
31'
Senior J.
Assist: Ajayi D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with Doncaster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Doncaster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chesterfield haven't matched Doncaster's recent run of results.
- Doncaster are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Doncaster have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Chesterfield, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 20%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Doncaster | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Chesterfield vs Doncaster
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Doncaster vs Chesterfield
5:1
Feb 6, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Doncaster
5:2
Sep 28, 2024 League Two
Doncaster vs Chesterfield
0:3
Jul 29, 2017 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Doncaster
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Sharp B.
3 Goals Assists Leader Ajayi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonis L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster 85 / 100
Chesterfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Doncaster went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Doncaster scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Chesterfield let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Doncaster VS Chesterfield
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Doncaster
(Home) 25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0 Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2 Doncaster
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5 Doncaster
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
25 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 1 Stevenage
21 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2 Lincoln City
11 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 0 Reading
03 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2 Mansfield
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2 Chesterfield
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
10 May
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Notts County
02 May
Swindon
1 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2 Chesterfield
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
02 May
Swindon
1 : 2 Chesterfield
18 Apr
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Chesterfield
06 Apr
Barrow
0 : 1 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City0
Huddersfield2
Salford2
Rotherham7
Doncaster5
Chesterfield1
Tranmere0
Fleetwood Town3
Bolton3
Bradford City0
Port Vale5
Barnsley0
Crewe1
Stockport County2
Harrogate4
Blackpool2
Luton4
Exeter0
Swindon1
Peterborough0
Bristol Rovers3
Cambridge Utd2
Leyton Orient0
Plymouth1
Cardiff1
AFC Wimbledon5
Colchester0
West Ham U211
Northampton2
Wycombe0
Stevenage1
Walsall2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield3
Rotherham0
Doncaster3
Fleetwood Town1
Bolton0
Port Vale1
Stockport County2
Harrogate1
Luton1
Swindon2
Bristol Rovers3
Plymouth4
AFC Wimbledon4
West Ham U212
Northampton4
Walsall2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield1
Doncaster2
Port Vale0
Stockport County4
Luton2
Plymouth1
AFC Wimbledon1
Northampton2
Semi-finals
Doncaster0
Stockport County1
Luton2
Northampton1
Final
Stockport County1
Luton3
