Sport Picks
Doncaster vs Chesterfield
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster 
Match Events
15'
15'
Sharp B.
Assist: Gotts R.
19'
19'
Ajayi D.
Assist: Sharp B.
31'
31'
Senior J.
Assist: Ajayi D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with Doncaster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chesterfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Doncaster haven't matched Chesterfield's recent run of results.
- Chesterfield are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Chesterfield arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Chesterfield, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 12%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Doncaster | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Chesterfield vs Doncaster
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Doncaster vs Chesterfield
5:1
Feb 6, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Doncaster
5:2
Sep 28, 2024 League Two
Doncaster vs Chesterfield
0:3
Jul 29, 2017 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Doncaster
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Sharp B.
3 Goals Assists Leader Ajayi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonis L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster 19 / 100
Chesterfield 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Doncaster scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Chesterfield let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Doncaster went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Doncaster VS Chesterfield
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Doncaster
(Home) 12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2 Doncaster
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3 Middlesbrough
22 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 0 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3 Barnet
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Gillingham
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1 Chesterfield
08 Aug
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Chesterfield
31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
