Sport Picks
Doncaster vs Stockport County
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster 
Match Events
11'
11'
Norwood O.
46'
46'
Sub
Stokes J. In: Dixon R.
Out: Stokes J.
46'
46'
Sub
Nixon T. In: Molyneux L.
Out: Nixon T.
AI Match Summary
Stockport County in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Doncaster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Stockport County lately — more wins on the board than Doncaster.
- Model gives Doncaster a 70% chance of winning this.
- Stockport County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Stockport County have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 18%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Doncaster | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2026 EFL Trophy
Doncaster vs Stockport County
0:1
Dec 29, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Doncaster
4:2
Dec 9, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs Stockport County
0:2
Jan 27, 2024 League Two
Doncaster vs Stockport County
1:5
Oct 7, 2023 League Two
Stockport County vs Doncaster
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Stockport County Compare
Top Goalscorer Norwood O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster 67 / 100
Stockport County 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Stockport County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Doncaster has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Doncaster's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Stockport County has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Doncaster VS Stockport County
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Doncaster
(Home) 25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0 Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2 Doncaster
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5 Doncaster
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
25 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 1 Stevenage
21 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2 Lincoln City
11 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 0 Reading
03 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2 Mansfield
Page 1 of 3
Stockport County
(Away) 17 Jul
Stockport County
2 : 0 Bristol City
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1 Stockport County
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
02 May
Barnsley
1 : 3 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1 Stockport County
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
02 May
Barnsley
1 : 3 Stockport County
18 Apr
Exeter
3 : 3 Stockport County
15 Apr
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 2 Stockport County
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City0
Huddersfield2
Salford2
Rotherham7
Doncaster5
Chesterfield1
Tranmere0
Fleetwood Town3
Bolton3
Bradford City0
Port Vale5
Barnsley0
Crewe1
Stockport County2
Harrogate4
Blackpool2
Luton4
Exeter0
Swindon1
Peterborough0
Bristol Rovers3
Cambridge Utd2
Leyton Orient0
Plymouth1
Cardiff1
AFC Wimbledon5
Colchester0
West Ham U211
Northampton2
Wycombe0
Stevenage1
Walsall2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield3
Rotherham0
Doncaster3
Fleetwood Town1
Bolton0
Port Vale1
Stockport County2
Harrogate1
Luton1
Swindon2
Bristol Rovers3
Plymouth4
AFC Wimbledon4
West Ham U212
Northampton4
Walsall2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield1
Doncaster2
Port Vale0
Stockport County4
Luton2
Plymouth1
AFC Wimbledon1
Northampton2
Semi-finals
Doncaster0
Stockport County1
Luton2
Northampton1
Final
Stockport County1
Luton3
