Sport Picks
Doncaster vs Stockport County
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster 
Match Events
11'
11'
Norwood O.
46'
46'
Sub
Stokes J. In: Dixon R.
Out: Stokes J.
46'
46'
Sub
Nixon T. In: Molyneux L.
Out: Nixon T.
AI Match Summary
Stockport County in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stockport County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Stockport County lately — more wins on the board than Doncaster.
- Model gives Stockport County a 51% chance of winning this.
- Stockport County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Stockport County have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 10%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Doncaster | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Stockport County vs Doncaster
1:2
Mar 3, 2026 EFL Trophy
Doncaster vs Stockport County
0:1
Dec 29, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Doncaster
4:2
Dec 9, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs Stockport County
0:2
Jan 27, 2024 League Two
Doncaster vs Stockport County
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Stockport County Compare
Top Goalscorer Norwood O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster 18 / 100
Stockport County 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Stockport County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stockport County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Doncaster scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Stockport County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Doncaster has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Doncaster VS Stockport County
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Doncaster
(Home) 19 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 2 Doncaster
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 7
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3 Middlesbrough
22 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 0 Barnsley
Page 1 of 4
Stockport County
(Away) 19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0 Stockport County
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4 Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0 Stockport County
29 Aug
Stockport County
5 : 1 Wycombe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0 Stockport County
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4 Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0 Stockport County
15 Aug
Plymouth
1 : 3 Stockport County
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
