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Donegal vs Ards

World World

Club Friendly 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ards in this Club Friendly 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Donegal
15%
Draws
85%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Donegal haven't matched Ards's recent run of results.
  • Ards are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ards have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Donegal Clean Sheet 19%
Ards Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Donegal Ards
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 2 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.95
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2016 Club Friendly
Donegal vs Ards
0:6
Mar 19, 2016 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Donegal
2:1
Dec 5, 2015 Irish Cup
Ards vs Donegal
7:0
Aug 15, 2015 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Ards
2:3
Apr 4, 2015 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Ards
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Donegal 10 / 100
Ards 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Donegal Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Donegal found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ards conceded in 64% of 39 recent games.

Difficult form: Ards registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ards
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Donegal

(Home)
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0
Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1
Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1
Donegal
20 Aug
Donegal
1 : 3
Oxford Stars
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Ards

(Away)
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
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