Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dongen vs GVV Unitas

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bastmeijer S.
20' Event
Versluis R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dongen
15%
Draws
46%
GVV Unitas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GVV Unitas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dongen have won more games recently than GVV Unitas.
  • Model gives Dongen a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Dongen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dongen, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Dongen Clean Sheet 18%
GVV Unitas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dongen GVV Unitas
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs Dongen
2:1
May 29, 2024 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs GVV Unitas
1:1
May 28, 2023 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs Dongen
1:3
Dec 4, 2022 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs GVV Unitas
4:2
May 22, 2022 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs Dongen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dongen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastmeijer S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

GVV Unitas Compare

Top Goalscorer Versluis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dongen 36 / 100
GVV Unitas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dongen GVV Unitas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dongen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

GVV Unitas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dongen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dongen VS GVV Unitas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dongen

(Home)
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2
Gemert
23 Aug
EVV
2 : 3
Dongen
Page 1 of 6

GVV Unitas

(Away)
15 Jun
Rohda Raalte
4 : 0
GVV Unitas
12 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
GVV Unitas
08 Jun
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 0
GVV Unitas
05 Jun
GVV Unitas
2 : 2
FC 's-Gravenzande
01 Jun
GVV Unitas
2 : 1
Dongen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HBC 3
VV Scherpenzeel 2
Watergraafsmeer 5
Staphorst 4
Rohda Raalte 4
VV Hoogeveen 3
AZSV 1
Huizen 2
Smitshoek 3
AWC 1
Westlandia 0
Achilles Veen 5
Dongen 2
GVV Unitas 3
RKSV Halsteren 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
Final
HBC 4
Watergraafsmeer 1
Rohda Raalte 0
Huizen 1
Smitshoek 2
Achilles Veen 0
GVV Unitas 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3