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Donji Srem vs Backa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Prva Liga 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Donji Srem in this Prva Liga 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Donji Srem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Donji Srem
20%
Draws
36%
Backa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Donji Srem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Backa have won more games recently than Donji Srem.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Backa taking it.
  • Regular Prva Liga 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Donji Srem Clean Sheet 17%
Backa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Donji Srem Backa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.73 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2016 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Backa vs Donji Srem
6:0
Nov 1, 2015 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Donji Srem vs Backa
2:1
Apr 29, 2010 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Backa vs Donji Srem
0:1
Oct 10, 2009 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Donji Srem vs Backa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Donji Srem 20 / 100
Backa 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Donji Srem Backa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Backa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Backa has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Donji Srem scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Donji Srem has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Backa
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Donji Srem

(Home)
29 May
Donji Srem
0 : 2
Sloga Petrovac
26 May
Zemun
0 : 1
Donji Srem
21 May
Donji Srem
0 : 1
Kolubara
14 May
Backa
6 : 0
Donji Srem
08 May
Donji Srem
2 : 0
Radnicki 1923
Page 1 of 6

Backa

(Away)
03 Oct
Backa
0 : 0
Mladost Apatin
26 Sept
Mladost Backi Jarak
3 : 1
Backa
19 Sept
Sloven Ruma
2 : 3
Backa
12 Sept
Backa
0 : 1
Tekstilac Odzaci
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova
1 : 1
Backa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Napredak 30 21 5 4 48:26 68
2 Backa 30 16 8 6 52:30 56
3 CSK Pivara 30 14 6 10 28:19 48
4 Indjija 30 12 9 9 46:28 45
5 Bezanija 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Sindjelic Beograd 30 11 9 10 32:25 42
7 Kolubara 30 11 9 10 29:28 42
8 Proleter Novi Sad 30 9 13 8 32:29 40
9 BSK Borca 30 11 7 12 32:38 40
10 Zemun 30 10 9 11 29:33 39
11 Sloga Petrovac 30 10 9 11 34:36 39
12 Din. Vranje 30 11 5 14 27:38 38
13 Sloboda 30 8 11 11 35:34 35
14 Donji Srem 30 8 10 12 24:38 34
15 Loznica 30 7 10 13 21:35 31
16 Radnicki 1923 30 2 6 22 23:63 12
Promotion - Super Liga 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Super Liga 2016/2017 (Main)