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Donn vs Pors

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2023
0 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bruu M.
58' Event
Bruu M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2023 game between Donn and Pors finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Donn
20%
Draws
36%
Pors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Donn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Pors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pors here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Donn Clean Sheet 17%
Pors Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Donn Pors
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.61
Goals Conceded 3.27 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2023 Division 3 - Group 4
Pors vs Donn
2:0
Jun 18, 2023 Division 3 - Group 4
Donn vs Pors
0:2
Aug 10, 2019 Division 3 - Group 3
Pors vs Donn
3:0
May 25, 2019 Division 3 - Group 3
Donn vs Pors
1:1
Aug 20, 2018 Division 3 - Group 3
Pors vs Donn
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Donn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pors Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruu M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Donn 30 / 100
Pors 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Donn Pors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Donn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Donn found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Pors conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Donn remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pors
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Donn

(Home)
17 Feb
Start
2 : 0
Donn
07 Feb
Mandalskameratene
1 : 5
Donn
29 Oct
Vindbjart
7 : 3
Donn
22 Oct
Donn
1 : 2
Mjondalen 2
14 Oct
Randesund
1 : 2
Donn
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Pors

(Away)
16 Aug
Pors
1 : 1
Bjarg
08 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Pors
01 Aug
Pors
1 : 1
Brattvag
25 Jul
Bjarg
0 : 1
Pors
27 Jun
Pors
2 : 4
Arendal
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