Sport Picks
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Alacranes de Durango Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan 
Match Events
44'
44'
Coronel O.
46'
46'
Sub
Flores A. In: Leyva C.
Out: Flores A.
46'
46'
Sub
Angulo J. In: Gutierrez L.
Out: Angulo J.
AI Match Summary
Alacranes de Durango in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alacranes de Durango.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Alacranes de Durango have won more games recently than Dorados de Sinaloa.
- Model gives Dorados de Sinaloa a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 20%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorados de Sinaloa | Alacranes de Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Alacranes de Durango
0:1
Mar 7, 2023 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Dorados de Sinaloa
3:0
Oct 22, 2022 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Alacranes de Durango
1:3
Aug 25, 2022 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Alacranes de Durango
2:2
Mar 20, 2011 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Alacranes de Durango
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorados de Sinaloa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Alacranes de Durango Compare
Top Goalscorer Reyes Olguin J. I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorados de Sinaloa 40 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorados de Sinaloa Alacranes de Durango
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dorados de Sinaloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dorados de Sinaloa's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Dorados de Sinaloa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Alacranes de Durango has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dorados de Sinaloa VS Alacranes de Durango
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorados de Sinaloa
(Home) 27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
29 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 3
Alacranes de Durango
(Away) 27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
16 Aug
Cancun
2 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
01 Aug
Atletico La Paz
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 17 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 14 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
