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Dordoi Bishkek vs Alay Osh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Kelly G.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Melnikov N.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Dordoi Bishkek and Alay Osh finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alay Osh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dordoi Bishkek
20%
Draws
40%
Alay Osh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alay Osh come out ahead of Dordoi Bishkek on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dordoi Bishkek a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Dordoi Bishkek Clean Sheet 68%
Alay Osh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordoi Bishkek Alay Osh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Premier Liga
Dordoi Bishkek vs Alay Osh
0:2
May 25, 2026 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Dordoi Bishkek
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Premier Liga
Dordoi Bishkek vs Alay Osh
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Dordoi Bishkek
1:2
Oct 23, 2024 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Dordoi Bishkek
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordoi Bishkek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alay Osh Compare

Top Goalscorer Melnikov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordoi Bishkek 68 / 100
Alay Osh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordoi Bishkek Alay Osh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dordoi Bishkek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordoi Bishkek's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alay Osh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Alay Osh lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dordoi Bishkek VS Alay Osh
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordoi Bishkek

(Home)
08 Oct
Ozgon
3 : 2
Dordoi Bishkek
07 Sept
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 2
Aldier
30 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
4 : 0
Abdysh-Ata Kant
23 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
0 : 2
Alay Osh
15 Aug
Ilbirs
3 : 0
Dordoi Bishkek
Page 1 of 6

Alay Osh

(Away)
18 Sept
Bishkek City
4 : 2
Alay Osh
10 Sept
Alay Osh
0 : 1
Muras United
05 Sept
Bars
6 : 0
Alay Osh
31 Aug
Alay Osh
0 : 0
Asiagoal Bishkek
23 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
0 : 2
Alay Osh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 24 16 4 4 68:32 52
2 Asia Talas 25 14 7 4 57:38 49
3 Alga Bishkek 24 14 7 3 44:25 49
4 Muras United 23 13 8 2 47:20 47
5 Ozgon 23 15 2 6 51:29 47
6 Alay Osh 24 12 5 7 33:31 41
7 Talant 24 7 9 8 29:25 30
8 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 25 9 3 13 33:42 30
9 Dordoi Bishkek 24 8 5 11 38:35 29
10 Aldier 24 7 7 10 35:43 28
11 Ilbirs 24 6 10 8 29:37 28
12 Toktogul 24 8 4 12 26:37 28
13 Bishkek City 24 6 9 9 26:33 27
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 25 4 9 12 29:43 21
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 23 2 5 16 18:49 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 24 1 6 17 19:63 9
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)