Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dordrecht vs Den Haag

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
Dordrecht Logo

Dordrecht

1 - 0
FT
Den Haag Logo

Den Haag

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Thomas N.
21'
de Bie J.
37'
van Vianen D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dordrecht in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dordrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dordrecht
30%
Draws
23%
Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Dordrecht haven't matched Den Haag's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dordrecht's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Den Haag
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Den Haag
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Dordrecht
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Dordrecht
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Den Haag
1:1
Mar 11, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Dordrecht
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Plug J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Den Haag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 34 / 100
Den Haag 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dordrecht scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Den Haag has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Den Haag has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Den Haag
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1
Dordrecht
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6

Den Haag

(Away)
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1
Den Haag
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)