Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Nash P.
Assist: Abdalla M.
6'
6'
Vetkal M.
Assist: Sits D.
14'
14'
Ouarghi A.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Dordrecht and Jong Ajax finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dordrecht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Ajax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jong Ajax have managed 1.3 goals a game lately — Dordrecht are scoring more at 1.45.
- Win probability leans Jong Ajax's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dordrecht | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax
3:0
Sep 30, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dordrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Vetkal M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ouarghi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Jong Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Nash P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dordrecht 22 / 100
Jong Ajax 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dordrecht Jong Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Ajax Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Ajax let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Dordrecht scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Dordrecht went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dordrecht VS Jong Ajax
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dordrecht
(Home) 25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2 Almere City
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0 Dordrecht
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1 Dordrecht
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
28 Aug
FC Volendam
6 : 1 Dordrecht
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2 Almere City
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
21 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 1 Roda
07 Aug
Dordrecht
2 : 1 Jong Ajax
01 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 2 Anderlecht U23
Page 1 of 4
Jong Ajax
(Away) 18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2 Jong Ajax
07 Aug
Dordrecht
2 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almere City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 13 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:23 | 7 |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
