Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dordrecht vs Lusail

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Venema N.
35' Event
Vugts S.
42' Event
Vugts S.

AI Match Summary

Dordrecht in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dordrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dordrecht
33%
Draws
27%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lusail lately — more wins on the board than Dordrecht.
  • Model gives Dordrecht a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 13%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Lusail
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Dordrecht vs Lusail
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Vugts S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Venema N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lusail Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 39 / 100
Lusail 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordrecht scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Lusail conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Dordrecht has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Lusail
1.25 Goals Scored 1.43
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
25 Jul
Dordrecht
2 : 2
Al Khaleej
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
14 Jul
Dordrecht
4 : 1
Dortmund II
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
04 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 6
Feyenoord
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Lusail

(Away)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
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