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Dorfmerkingen vs VfB Stuttgart II

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dorfmerkingen play VfB Stuttgart II in the Club Friendly 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dorfmerkingen averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. VfB Stuttgart II averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Dorfmerkingen won 0, VfB Stuttgart II won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 2, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Dorfmerkingen and 0.99 for VfB Stuttgart II. This points to a VfB Stuttgart II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dorfmerkingen
22%
Draws
45%
VfB Stuttgart II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: VfB Stuttgart II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Dorfmerkingen picked up more points recently compared to VfB Stuttgart II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Dorfmerkingen Clean Sheet 23%
VfB Stuttgart II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorfmerkingen VfB Stuttgart II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Dorfmerkingen vs VfB Stuttgart II
0:2
May 23, 2020 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Dorfmerkingen vs VfB Stuttgart II
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
VfB Stuttgart II vs Dorfmerkingen
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorfmerkingen 34 / 100
VfB Stuttgart II 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorfmerkingen VfB Stuttgart II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: VfB Stuttgart II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dorfmerkingen attacking → ← attacking VfB Stuttgart II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorfmerkingen scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

VfB Stuttgart II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Dorfmerkingen went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

VfB Stuttgart II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 37
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25