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Dorking Wanderers vs Braintree - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nikaj G.
35' Event
Rutherford A.
45' Event
Hubbard F.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Dorking Wanderers and Braintree finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorking Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dorking Wanderers
30%
Draws
19%
Braintree
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dorking Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Braintree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Braintree
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.73 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Braintree
4:3
Jan 8, 2022 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Braintree
2:1
Aug 28, 2021 National League South
Braintree vs Dorking Wanderers
2:2
Mar 27, 2021 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Braintree
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 National League South
Braintree vs Dorking Wanderers
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogalski D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nikaj G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Hubbard F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lewis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 29 / 100
Braintree 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Braintree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorking Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Braintree's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Dorking Wanderers remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Braintree
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorking Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Chatham
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
5 : 4
Southall FC
20 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Braintree

(Away)
06 Oct
Braintree
1 : 3
Walton & Hersham
03 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 1
Braintree
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)