Sport Picks
Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet
England
National League South 2025/2026 Meadowbank, Dorking 
Match Events
38'
38'
Chapman B.
49'
49'
Lewis D.
60'
60'
Camp B.
AI Match Summary
Dorking Wanderers in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorking Wanderers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dorking Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ebbsfleet haven't matched Dorking Wanderers's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Dorking Wanderers's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 14%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorking Wanderers | Ebbsfleet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Dorking Wanderers
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 National League
Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet
1:4
Sep 26, 2023 National League
Ebbsfleet vs Dorking Wanderers
0:1
May 21, 2022 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorking Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Lewis D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Camp B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ebbsfleet Compare
Top Goalscorer Chapman B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorking Wanderers 39 / 100
Ebbsfleet 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorking Wanderers Ebbsfleet
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dorking Wanderers's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Ebbsfleet has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Dorking Wanderers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dorking Wanderers VS Ebbsfleet
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorking Wanderers
(Home) 11 Jul
Leatherhead
3 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
04 Jul
Bognor Regis
0 : 1 Dorking Wanderers
02 May
Torquay
4 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
29 Apr
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0 Maidenhead
25 Apr
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0 Maidenhead
18 Apr
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 3 Bath City
06 Apr
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 2 Worthing FC
28 Mar
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
14 Mar
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 1 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 3
Ebbsfleet
(Away) 24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2 West Ham U21
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4 Ebbsfleet
11 Jul
Wycombe
4 : 0 Ebbsfleet
07 Jul
Dartford
2 : 1 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4 Ebbsfleet
11 Jul
Wycombe
4 : 0 Ebbsfleet
07 Jul
Dartford
2 : 1 Ebbsfleet
04 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 0 Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Worthing FC
2 : 0 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)