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Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Meadowbank, Dorking
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Rutherford A.
43' Event
Sidwell H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Dorking Wanderers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dorking Wanderers
35%
Draws
28%
Maidenhead
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Maidenhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Maidenhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dorking Wanderers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 16%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Maidenhead
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers
0:0
Apr 29, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers
2:0
Oct 28, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 National League
Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Rutherford A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sidwell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Maidenhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 30 / 100
Maidenhead 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Maidenhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorking Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dorking Wanderers stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dorking Wanderers scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Maidenhead let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Maidenhead
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorking Wanderers

(Home)
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
5 : 4
Southall FC
20 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
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Maidenhead

(Away)
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Hornchurch -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Torquay -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 2
Maidenhead 0
Semi-finals
Hornchurch 2
Weston-super-Mare 0
Torquay 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
Final
Hornchurch 3
Torquay 2