Sport Picks
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
Germany
Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 
Match Events
40'
40'
Beck L.
45'
45'
Kalfa F.
53'
53'
Lass B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nordmark Satrup
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nordmark Satrup have won more games recently than Dornbreite Lubeck.
- Model gives Nordmark Satrup a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Nordmark Satrup have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dornbreite Lubeck Clean Sheet 18%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dornbreite Lubeck | Nordmark Satrup |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 23 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.47 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
3:3
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
3:2
May 11, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
1:2
Jul 29, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dornbreite Lubeck Compare
Top Goalscorer Beck L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kalfa F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Nordmark Satrup Compare
Top Goalscorer Lorenzen F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dornbreite Lubeck 10 / 100
Nordmark Satrup 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dornbreite Lubeck Nordmark Satrup
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nordmark Satrup Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nordmark Satrup let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.
Nordmark Satrup's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Dornbreite Lubeck scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Nordmark Satrup
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dornbreite Lubeck
(Home) 17 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 1 Eutin 08
09 May
Kilia Kiel
5 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
03 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 3 Nordmark Satrup
26 Apr
Rotenhof
4 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
12 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 9 PSV Neumunster
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 1 Eutin 08
03 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 3 Nordmark Satrup
12 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 9 PSV Neumunster
05 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
1 : 3 Lubeck II
29 Mar
Dornbreite Lubeck
1 : 6 Heider SV
Page 1 of 3
Nordmark Satrup
(Away) 27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1 Hohenwestedt
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1 Kaltenkirchener
29 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 3 Holstein Kiel II
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
08 Aug
Lubeck II
2 : 4 Nordmark Satrup
01 Aug
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 2 Nordmark Satrup
10 May
Holstein Kiel II
6 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilia Kiel | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 109:43 | 74 |
| 2 | Heider SV | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 90:41 | 68 |
| 3 | PSV Neumunster | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 83:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Eichede | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 64:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Nordmark Satrup | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 62:52 | 41 |
| 6 | Preussen Reinfeld | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 54:56 | 41 |
| 7 | Hohenwestedt | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 50:64 | 40 |
| 8 | Oldenburger SV | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 66:68 | 38 |
| 9 | Eutin 08 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49:54 | 37 |
| 10 | Rotenhof | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 58:68 | 35 |
| 11 | VfR Neumunster | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:67 | 35 |
| 12 | Lubeck II | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 13 | Eckernforder SV | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 53:68 | 32 |
| 14 | TSB Flensburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 51:70 | 31 |
| 15 | Eidertal Molfsee | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 44:85 | 27 |
| 16 | Dornbreite Lubeck | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 32:104 | 13 |
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
