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Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

Dornbreite Lubeck play Nordmark Satrup in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025. Nordmark Satrup are favorites here. Recently, Dornbreite Lubeck averaged 1.07 goals scored and 3.47 conceded. Nordmark Satrup averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Dornbreite Lubeck won 0, Nordmark Satrup won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2025 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Dornbreite Lubeck and 1.24 for Nordmark Satrup. This points to a Nordmark Satrup double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Dornbreite Lubeck
20%
Draws
67%
Nordmark Satrup
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nordmark Satrup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dornbreite Lubeck picked up more points recently compared to Nordmark Satrup.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Dornbreite Lubeck Clean Sheet 19%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dornbreite Lubeck Nordmark Satrup
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 3 19
Draws 4 8
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.47 1.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
3:3
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
3:2
May 11, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
1:2
Jul 29, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dornbreite Lubeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Beck L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalfa F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nordmark Satrup Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorenzen F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dornbreite Lubeck 16 / 100
Nordmark Satrup 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dornbreite Lubeck Nordmark Satrup

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nordmark Satrup Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nordmark Satrup & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dornbreite Lubeck attacking → ← attacking Nordmark Satrup

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dornbreite Lubeck scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Nordmark Satrup let in goals in 68% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Dornbreite Lubeck went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nordmark Satrup lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 65
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kilia Kiel302280109:4374
2Heider SV30215490:4168
3PSV Neumunster30195683:3662
4Eichede30178564:2759
5Nordmark Satrup301181162:5241
6Preussen Reinfeld301181154:5641
7Hohenwestedt301171250:6440
8Oldenburger SV301081266:6838
9Eutin 08301071349:5437
10Rotenhof301051558:6835
11VfR Neumunster30981355:6735
12Lubeck II30961551:6833
13Eckernforder SV30881453:6832
14TSB Flensburg30871551:7031
15Eidertal Molfsee30761744:8527
16Dornbreite Lubeck30342332:10413