Sport Picks
Dorneda vs Deportivo Fabril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Fabril in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Fabril.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Fabril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Deportivo Fabril lately — more wins on the board than Dorneda.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Deportivo Fabril here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 15%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorneda | Deportivo Fabril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Deportivo Fabril
2:3
Dec 11, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Dorneda
0:0
Feb 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Deportivo Fabril
1:4
Oct 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Dorneda
3:0
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Dorneda
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorneda 31 / 100
Deportivo Fabril 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorneda Deportivo Fabril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dorneda found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Deportivo Fabril conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Dorneda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Deportivo Fabril
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorneda
(Home) 11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1 Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1 Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3 Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1 Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0 Alondras
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1 Pontevedra
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3 Deportivo Fabril
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0 Alondras
30 Mar
Dorneda
1 : 2 CD AS Pontes
16 Mar
Dorneda
1 : 1 Bertamirans FC
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Fabril
(Away) 04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1 Deportivo Fabril
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0 Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1 Cacereno
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1 Deportivo Fabril
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0 Deportivo Fabril
08 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
01 Aug
Lugo
2 : 0 Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 98:22 | 97 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 75:34 | 77 |
| 3 | Compostela | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 64:28 | 73 |
| 4 | Deportivo Fabril | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 76:33 | 71 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 57:45 | 63 |
| 6 | CD AS Pontes | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 56:53 | 59 |
| 7 | SD Ordenes | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45:38 | 55 |
| 8 | Rapido de Bouzas | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 39:53 | 52 |
| 9 | Alondras | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48:45 | 52 |
| 10 | Racing Club Villalbes | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Cerceda | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 35:44 | 48 |
| 12 | Somozas | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 13 | Betanzos CF | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 14 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:47 | 47 |
| 15 | SD Negreira | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 37:56 | 45 |
| 16 | Dorneda | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 37:55 | 45 |
| 17 | Villalonga | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 18 | Bergantinos | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 28:63 | 30 |
| 19 | Celtiga | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 28:71 | 25 |
| 20 | Naron | 38 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 30:85 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
