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Dorneda vs Villalonga

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013
Dorneda Logo

Dorneda

2 - 1
FT
Villalonga Logo

Villalonga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dorneda in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorneda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Dorneda
15%
Draws
26%
Villalonga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dorneda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Villalonga have won more games recently than Dorneda.
  • Win probability leans Dorneda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 20%
Villalonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorneda Villalonga
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Villalonga
2:1
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Dorneda
1:0
Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs Dorneda
3:1
Oct 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Villalonga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorneda 85 / 100
Villalonga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorneda Villalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorneda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villalonga let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Dorneda found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dorneda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villalonga
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorneda

(Home)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
Page 1 of 7

Villalonga

(Away)
16 Aug
Villalonga
0 : 2
Pontevedra
26 Jul
Villalonga
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
11 May
Villalonga
2 : 1
Estradense
04 May
Gran Pena
3 : 1
Villalonga
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 32 1 5 98:22 97
2 Celta Vigo B 38 22 11 5 75:34 77
3 Compostela 38 21 10 7 64:28 73
4 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 76:33 71
5 Pontevedra 38 17 12 9 57:45 63
6 CD AS Pontes 38 18 5 15 56:53 59
7 SD Ordenes 38 14 13 11 45:38 55
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 10 14 39:53 52
9 Alondras 38 14 10 14 48:45 52
10 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 12 14 45:42 48
11 Cerceda 38 12 12 14 35:44 48
12 Somozas 38 11 14 13 41:45 47
13 Betanzos CF 38 13 8 17 48:61 47
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
15 SD Negreira 38 12 9 17 37:56 45
16 Dorneda 38 13 6 19 37:55 45
17 Villalonga 38 11 12 15 44:50 45
18 Bergantinos 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Celtiga 38 5 10 23 28:71 25
20 Naron 38 4 8 26 30:85 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)