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Dortmund II vs Bonner - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dortmund II host Bonner in the Regionalliga West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Dortmund II have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Bonner's 1.54 scored and 1.68 conceded. Head-to-head, Dortmund II have won 2 to Bonner's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.50) point toward Dortmund II. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dortmund II
30%
Draws
32%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dortmund II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Dortmund II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dortmund II a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 16%
Bonner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund II Bonner
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Dortmund II
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Regionalliga West
Dortmund II vs Bonner
1:1
Mar 24, 2021 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Dortmund II
1:3
Sep 27, 2020 Regionalliga West
Dortmund II vs Bonner
1:1
Apr 11, 2020 Regionalliga West
Dortmund II vs Bonner
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund II 48 / 100
Bonner 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund II Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dortmund II's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bonner let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Dortmund II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund II VS Bonner
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund II

(Home)
04 Oct
Siegen
1 : 3
Dortmund II
26 Sept
Dortmund II
4 : 2
Bocholt
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
16 Sept
Dortmund II
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2
Rodinghausen
Page 1 of 6

Bonner

(Away)
02 Oct
Bonner
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
27 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
1 : 1
Bonner
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 11 9 1 1 28:9 28
2 Dortmund II 11 7 4 0 23:11 25
3 Gutersloh 11 7 2 2 26:13 23
4 B. Monchengladbach II 11 6 2 3 25:13 20
5 Westfalia Rhynern 11 5 2 4 20:22 17
6 Siegen 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
7 Bergisch Gladbach 11 5 1 5 19:22 16
8 Bonner 11 3 6 2 21:20 15
9 Schalke II 10 5 0 5 20:20 15
10 Koln II 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
11 Bocholt 11 3 4 4 24:26 13
12 Paderborn II 11 3 4 4 19:22 13
13 SG Wattenscheid 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
14 Hilden 11 3 3 5 16:23 12
15 Bochum II 11 3 2 6 14:20 11
16 Rodinghausen 11 2 3 6 15:20 9
17 Wiedenbruck 11 2 2 7 14:26 8
18 Lotte 11 0 3 8 7:22 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)